Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.024927 0.027401 0.029859 0.032480 0.035189 0.037903 0.040822
2025-02-02 0.020093 0.024045 0.028096 0.032531 0.037225 0.042025 0.047283
2025-02-09 0.016123 0.020944 0.026029 0.031724 0.037867 0.044245 0.051325
2025-02-16 0.013784 0.019268 0.025197 0.031959 0.039357 0.047124 0.055825
2025-02-23 0.011697 0.017641 0.024228 0.031870 0.040338 0.049315 0.059448
2025-03-02 0.009822 0.016079 0.023190 0.031578 0.040983 0.051041 0.062471
2025-03-09 0.008308 0.014803 0.022373 0.031441 0.041718 0.052791 0.065448
2025-03-16 0.006680 0.013240 0.021121 0.030724 0.041733 0.053689 0.067437
2025-03-23 0.005671 0.012366 0.020619 0.030817 0.042610 0.055495 0.070375
2025-03-30 0.004546 0.011226 0.019726 0.030398 0.042862 0.056567 0.072470
2025-04-06 0.003424 0.009957 0.018599 0.029647 0.042688 0.057127 0.073963
2025-04-13 0.002252 0.008423 0.017042 0.028315 0.041793 0.056838 0.074477
2025-04-20 0.001813 0.008072 0.017113 0.029093 0.043517 0.059685 0.078699
2025-04-27 0.001184 0.007274 0.016577 0.029145 0.044430 0.061668 0.082022
2025-05-04 0.000513 0.006093 0.015424 0.028375 0.044336 0.062476 0.084007
2025-05-11 0.000219 0.005528 0.015086 0.028599 0.045397 0.064583 0.087427
2025-05-18 0.000022 0.004861 0.014537 0.028514 0.046060 0.066207 0.090280
2025-05-25 NaN 0.004161 0.013868 0.028235 0.046459 0.067502 0.092738
2025-06-01 NaN 0.003588 0.013336 0.028104 0.047014 0.068959 0.095360
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002841 0.012423 0.027419 0.046859 0.069566 0.096991
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002462 0.012097 0.027508 0.047643 0.071254 0.099843
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001945 0.011440 0.027108 0.047798 0.072188 0.101815
2025-06-29 NaN 0.001390 0.010588 0.026391 0.047529 0.072604 0.103173